By Krishnadevan V
Krishnadevan is Consulting Editor at BasisPoint Insight. He has worked in the equity markets, and been a journalist at ET, AFX News, Reuters TV and Cogencis.
April 29, 2025 at 4:55 AM IST
Reliance Industries Limited has mastered scale like few others. With a market value of ₹18 trillion and a retail network that pulls in over a billion footfalls annually, Mukesh Ambani’s conglomerate towers over India’s corporate landscape. Yet as growth slows and complexity rises, Reliance’s DNA of ruthless efficiency may not be enough. To power its next decade, it must master a different skill: intimacy.
The January-March numbers showed the pivot in motion. Retail and digital businesses now account for nearly half of group EBITDA. Jio’s monthly average revenue per user climbed to ₹206, and Reliance Retail reported a 14.4% year-on-year EBITDA growth. Yet, customer churn at Jio ticked higher after recent tariff hikes, while retail margins in newer segments like quick commerce remain razor-thin.
The numbers remain formidable, but they conceal a rising challenge: scale alone will not guarantee customer loyalty. As Reliance shifts from industrial dominance to consumer affection, belonging, not just presence, will determine winners.
Reliance’s strategy of sheer size worked brilliantly in petrochemicals, refining, and even early retail and telecom phases. But luxury retail, high-end telecom services, and financial offerings demand something it has yet to consistently deliver—an emotional bond with customers who are spoilt for choice and demand personalisation as a given.
Look at its luxury push. The alliances with Burberry and Zegna reflect an ambition to move upmarket. But in luxury, ownership is incidental; experience is paramount.
Customers now expect seamless curation, discreet service, and a brand universe that feels like a private club rather than a flashy store. Simply piling brands onto mall maps will not suffice.
In telecom, the story is similar. Jio’s early growth was built on affordability and reach. But as data becomes commoditised and enterprise 5G looms, differentiation will hinge on experiences that feel tailored, sticky, and invisible. Loyalty programmes, digital communities, and integrated lifestyle offerings could deepen ties—but RIL will have to evolve its transactional mindset to one built on fostering identity.
Meanwhile, Jio Financial Services offers both a litmus test and a warning. Revenue rose 24% year-on-year, but profits stayed flat amid margin pressures and investment needs. Access to Reliance’s vast user base and partnerships with BlackRock provide muscle, but success in finance depends as much on trust and finesse as on customer scale. Regulation will constrain aggression, and mistakes could be costly in reputation and compliance risk.
The shift to New Energy too, though crucial, will not yield quick wins. Gigawatt-scale ambitions in solar and green hydrogen are laudable but are long-gestation bets. Until then, cash flow will depend heavily on consumer-facing arms where competition is intensifying and customer expectations are soaring.
Reliance still enjoys unparalleled advantages—capital muscle, integration synergies, and operating heft. Yet if it wants to remain India’s indispensable company in the consumer age, it must build intimacy without losing efficiency.
Its DNA was forged for efficiency. Its future demands intimacy.
Selling at scale has built Reliance’s empire. Selling belonging will decide how long it lasts.