India’s Union Budget for 2026-27 leaned on fiscal consolidation without diluting growth support, maintaining a steady glide path for deficits, sustained capital expenditure and predictable transfers to states. Borrowing assumptions remained conservative, while revenue projections reflected confidence in nominal growth.
Sector-specific interventions focused on agriculture, energy transition and tourism.
Here are the key takeaways.
Fiscal Framework and Macro Assumptions
- Fiscal deficit estimated at 4.4% of GDP in 2025-26
- Fiscal deficit estimated at 4.3% of GDP in 2026-27
- Fiscal deficit estimated at ₹16.96 trillion in 2026-27
- Revenue deficit estimated at 1.5% of GDP in 2026-27
- Debt-to-GDP ratio estimated at 55.6% in 2026-27
- Nominal GDP growth estimated at 10% in 2026-27
- Vertical devolution to states retained at 41%
- Government accepted the recommendations of the 16th Finance Commission
Borrowings, Cash Management and Debt Operations
- Gross market borrowings estimated at ₹17.2 trillion in 2026-27
- Net market borrowings estimated at ₹11.7 trillion in 2026-27
- Gilt switches estimated at ₹2.5 trillion in 2026-27
- Net cash drawdown estimated at ₹327 billion in 2026-27
- Gross market borrowings revised to ₹14.61 trillion for 2025-26
- Net market borrowings revised to ₹11.33 trillion for 2025-26
- Gilt switches revised to ₹1.58 trillion for 2025-26
- Net cash drawdown revised to ₹457 billion for 2025-26
Capital Expenditure and Key Spending Heads
- Capital expenditure estimated at ₹12.2 trillion in 2026-27
- Defence expenditure estimated at ₹5.95 trillion in 2026-27, compared with ₹5.68 trillion in 2025-26
- Fertiliser subsidy estimated at ₹1.71 trillion in 2026-27
- Food subsidy estimated at ₹2.28 trillion in 2026-27
- Petroleum subsidy estimated at ₹120.85 billion in 2026-27
- PMGKAY outlay estimated at ₹2.27 trillion in 2026-27
- MGNREGA outlay estimated at ₹300 billion in 2026-27
- Pension outgo estimated at ₹2.96 trillion in 2026-27
Agriculture, Rural Economy and Allied Sectors
- Credit Linked Subsidy Programme announced for the animal husbandry sector
- Coconut promotion scheme to be launched to support farmers and value chains
- Support announced for high-value crops including coconut, sandalwood, cocoa and cashew
- Multilingual AI-based farming tool Bharat Vistar to be launched for advisory services
- Support announced for community-owned retail outlets set up by women entrepreneurs
Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism
- Integrated industrial corridor announced along the East Coast to boost manufacturing
- Provision announced for 4,000 electric buses to support urban mobility
- New scheme announced to develop Buddhist tourist circuits in the Northeast
Tax Administration and Compliance Measures
- Taxpayers to be allowed to revise income tax returns up to March 31 instead of December 31
- One-time six-month window announced for foreign asset disclosure for select taxpayers
- Amnesty scheme announced for voluntary declaration of foreign assets
- Immunity offered to taxpayers paying due tax, with penalties on undisclosed assets capped at ₹50 million
- Interest awarded by Motor Accident Claims Tribunal to be exempt from income tax
Direct Taxes and Corporate Taxation
- Safe harbour threshold for IT services raised to ₹20 billion
- Unified safe harbour margin fixed at 15.5% for all IT services
- Minimum Alternate Tax rate reduced from 15% to 14%
- Minimum Alternate Tax removed for non-residents paying tax on presumptive income
- Tax holiday extended until 2047 for select foreign companies providing cloud services
- Promoters required to pay additional tax on share buybacks
- Share buybacks to be taxed as capital gains for all shareholders
Securities and Transaction Taxes
- Securities Transaction Tax raised on futures and options premium
- STT on futures and options premium increased to 0.05%
Customs, Trade and Indirect Taxes
- Customs duty on select minerals reduced to 2%
- Basic customs duty exempted on sodium antimonate used in solar glass manufacturing
- Basic customs duty exemption extended on imports for nuclear power projects until 2035
- Basic customs duty exempted on parts used to manufacture or maintain aircraft
- Seventeen anti-cancer drugs exempted from import duty
- Certain exemptions withdrawn on items made in India or with negligible imports
- Sale of goods from SEZs permitted into domestic tariff areas
- Validity of advance rulings under customs extended from three years to five years
- Customs integrated system to be rolled out over the next two years
Revenue Receipts: Budget Estimates 2026-27
- Total gross tax collection estimated at ₹44.04 trillion
- Income tax receipts estimated at ₹14.66 trillion
- Corporation tax receipts estimated at ₹12.31 trillion
- GST receipts estimated at ₹10.19 trillion
- Excise duty receipts estimated at ₹3.89 trillion
- Customs duty receipts estimated at ₹2.71 trillion
- Tax devolution to states estimated at ₹15.26 trillion
Non-Tax Revenues and Other Receipts 2026-27
- RBI surplus and dividends from PSU financial companies estimated at ₹3.16 trillion
- Dividends from public sector undertakings estimated at ₹750 billion
- Telecom receipts estimated at ₹1.17 trillion
Revised Estimates 2025-26
- Fiscal deficit revised to ₹15.58 trillion from ₹15.68 trillion
- Total gross tax collection revised to ₹40.78 trillion
- Income tax receipts revised to ₹13.12 trillion
- Corporation tax receipts revised to ₹11.09 trillion
- GST receipts revised to ₹10.46 trillion
- Excise duty receipts revised to ₹3.37 trillion
- Customs duty receipts revised to ₹2.58 trillion
- Tax devolution to states revised to ₹13.93 trillion
- Total transfers to states revised to ₹23.36 trillion
- PMGKAY outlay revised to ₹2.28 trillion
- MGNREGA outlay revised to ₹880 billion
- Pension outgo revised to ₹2.87 trillion
- Dividends from public sector undertakings revised to ₹710 billion
- RBI surplus and PSU financial companies’ dividends revised to ₹3.05 trillion